Fuel · Convenience · Foodservice · SBA 7(a) and 504
Gas Station & Convenience Store Feasibility Study Consultants for SBA 7(a) and 504 Loans
SBA Feasibility Study LLC is an independent gas station feasibility study consultant to SBA 7(a) lenders, 504 Certified Development Companies and their borrowers. Each study answers the questions a fuel and convenience credit turns on:
- how many gallons the site will sell, and at what margin;
- how much inside sales and foodservice add;
- whether coverage survives a return to historical fuel margins;
- whether the environmental record satisfies SBA’s gas station rules.
The answer is built from four independent fuel-volume methods, category-level inside sales, a margin stress test against the 2014–2025 record, and coverage tested against SOP 50 10 8.1. It is benchmarked against the firm’s own analysis of 10,333 SBA gas station loans.
By David Jones, MAI, CCIM, Principal · Last reviewed October 26, 2026 · SBA data as of March 31, 2026
4,300+
feasibility studies by the principal
534 lenders · 107 CDCs
have accepted the firm’s studies
10,333
SBA gas station loans analyzed
3.4% vs 7.3%
seasoned gas station vs all-industry adverse resolution
SOP 50 10 8.1
in force since October 1, 2026
On this page
- What a consultant does
- SBA Gas Station Lending Ledger
- The environmental gate
- When a lender orders a study
- How to choose a consultant
- Who prepares your study
- Engagement record
- What the study analyzes
- 2025–2026 market evidence
- Study vs market study vs appraisal
- Eligibility and structure checklist
- Process, fee and timeline
- FAQ
- Related resources
- How this page is verified
What a gas station feasibility study consultant does for an SBA loan
A gas station feasibility study consultant tests, independently of the borrower, whether a proposed, rebranded or acquired fuel and convenience site can generate the gallons, margins and inside sales needed to service the proposed SBA debt. The study:
- defines the trade area along traffic corridors;
- inventories every competing station and permitted project by name;
- triangulates fuel volume from traffic, comparable stations, market share and fueling-position throughput;
- models inside sales by category, plus car wash and foodservice where present;
- deducts card fees, environmental compliance and tank replacement;
- reports debt service coverage under margin, volume and inside-sales stress.
It closes with a determination addressed to the lender.
The determination
Feasible
The project meets the lender and program coverage standard in the base case and remains serviceable under the stated downside.
The determination
Feasible subject to stated conditions
The credit works only if named conditions hold, such as a loan sized to a normal-margin case, a verified tank replacement budget, a waived environmental indemnity or a supply agreement without conflicting covenants.
The determination
Not feasible as proposed
The evidence does not support the debt. The study states what would have to change.
SBA gas station loan performance: the SBA Gas Station Lending Ledger
SBA does not publish loan performance by industry. The firm computes it from SBA’s loan-level FOIA files and publishes the results, so a credit reviewer can test a fuel file against the record of its class. The same method underlies the SBA Feasibility Risk Meter and the SBA 7(a) charge-off rates by industry.
Exhibit 1
SBA Gas Station Lending Ledger, FY2010–FY2026
Seasoned SBA gas station loans reached adverse resolution at 3.4 percent, less than half the 7.3 percent all-industry rate, and mature 7(a) cohorts charged off at 2.78 percent, well under half the 6.44 percent program average.
10,333
loans, FY2010–FY2026
$11.81B
approved
$1.1M
average loan
87.9%
7(a) share of count
1,257
approved since FY2024
| Metric | Value | Cohort or period |
|---|---|---|
| Gas station loans disbursed | 10,333 loans | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Approved volume | 11.81 USD billions | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Average loan size | 1.1 USD millions | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Program share, 7(a) | 87.9 percent of count | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Program share, 504 | 12.1 percent of count | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Loans approved since FY2024 | 1,257 loans | FY2024–FY2026 |
| Seasoned cohort size | 8,030 loans | Approvals FY2010–FY2021 |
| Seasoned adverse-resolution rate, gas stations | 3.4 percent | Approvals FY2010–FY2021 |
| Seasoned adverse-resolution rate, all industries | 7.3 percent | Approvals FY2010–FY2021 |
| Gas station rate relative to all industries | less than half of the all-industry rate | Approvals FY2010–FY2021 |
| Charge-off rate, mature 7(a) gas station cohorts | 2.78 percent by count | Mature 7(a) cohorts |
| Charge-off rate, 7(a) program average | 6.44 percent by count | Mature 7(a) cohorts |
| Gas station loans, California | 1,852 loans | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Gas station loans, Texas | 1,758 loans | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Gas station loans, Georgia | 847 loans | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Gas station loans, Washington | 813 loans | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Gas station loans, Wisconsin | 447 loans | FY2010–FY2026 |
| Top five states, combined | 5,717 (55.3%) loans (share of national) | FY2010–FY2026 |
Five states account for 55.3 percent of SBA gas station loans: California (1,852), Texas (1,758), Georgia (847), Washington (813), Wisconsin (447).
Exhibit 1B
Gas stations against the other special-purpose and lodging classes
Gas stations have the second-lowest adverse-resolution rate of the four classes, but a higher 7(a) charge-off rate than hotels and RV parks. The two measures cover different programs and cohorts, and a lender should read both.
| Class | Loans FY2010–FY2026 | Average loan | Seasoned adverse resolution | Mature 7(a) charge-off by count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RV parks and campgrounds | 1,064 | $1.0M | 3.2% | 1.75% |
| Gas stations | 10,333 | $1.1M | 3.4% | 2.78% |
| Hotels | 17,815 | $2.0M | 4.4% | 2.10% |
| Car washes | 4,863 | $1.2M | 5.4% | 4.56% |
| All industries / 7(a) program | — | — | 7.3% | 6.44% |
Methodology. Disbursed loans only. Adverse resolution means purchased by SBA, liquidated or charged off. Seasoned means approved FY2010–FY2021, allowing at least four years of performance. The charge-off rate is by count on mature 7(a) cohorts. Source: SBA 7(a) and 504 FOIA loan-level data as of March 31, 2026; firm analysis. Full data methodology.
What the record does and does not say. The seasoned cohort performed through a fuel-margin regime that averaged about 27 cents per gallon from 2014 to 2022. Today’s margins of over 40 cents are a cushion, not a baseline. A class-level loss rate is a reason a well-built fuel file can be approved, not evidence that a given station will perform. Loss given default by collateral type is covered in SBA loan loss severity by property type.
Cite as: SBA Feasibility Study LLC, SBA Gas Station Lending Ledger, FY2010–FY2026 (SBA 7(a) and 504 FOIA loan-level data as of March 31, 2026). Licensed CC BY 4.0.
SBA environmental requirements for gas station loans
For a gas station, the environmental file decides eligibility before the financial analysis begins. SBA’s gas station rules (SOP Appendix 7) require a Phase I Environmental Site Assessment for any loan secured by real estate or personal property used to operate a gas station, regardless of loan amount. An Environmental Questionnaire or Records Search with Risk Assessment will not suffice. SOP 50 10 8.1 left these rules unchanged in substance; the only edit replaced references to E-Tran with “the SBA Loan System.”
Exhibit 2
SBA Appendix 7: what every gas station file must contain
The environmental record is an eligibility gate, not a diligence item. Without a Phase I on every loan, a licensed Phase II where one is recommended, and a waived indemnity, there is no SBA loan.
| Requirement | Rule | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Phase I | Required for any loan secured by real estate or personal property used to operate a gas station, regardless of amount; a questionnaire or records search is insufficient | SOP Appendix 7 (Starfield & Smith, June 2024; unchanged in 8.1 per A3 Environmental, September 2026) |
| Phase II | Performed by an independent environmental professional holding a current Professional Engineer’s or Professional Geologist’s license, with the equivalent of three years of full-time relevant experience | Same |
| Tank and equipment testing | The Phase I must document the environmental professional’s determination of compliance with tank and equipment testing requirements, even when the loan is secured by real property | Same |
| Environmental indemnities | Any party holding a right to environmental indemnification must waive it and release SBA and the lender (Appendix 8 or a similar recorded document). If the holder will not waive, the loan is ineligible | Same |
| Report age | Environmental reports must be dated within one year of SBA loan number issuance | SOP 50 10 8 Technical Update; carried into 8.1 |
| Uncontaminated sites | Delegated lenders, including 7(a) Small, may certify uncontaminated properties in the SBA loan system | SOP 50 10 8 (Partner ESI summary) |
| Federal UST rules | The 2015 revision of 40 CFR Part 280 requires secondary containment and under-dispenser containment for new and replaced tanks and piping, Class A, B and C operators, 30-day walkthrough inspections, annual release-detection equipment testing, and spill and overfill equipment checks every three years. Petroleum marketers carry $1 million per-occurrence financial responsibility under the 1988 rule (40 CFR 280.93) | 40 CFR Part 280 |
SOP 50 10 8.1 primary text for Appendix 7 is cited through lender and environmental-consultant summaries; confirm wording in the SOP version that governs the loan number.
The study aligns its capital budget with the Phase I findings. Tank age, construction and warranty are carried as capital-expenditure risk and priced from contractor quotes, so the lender, appraiser and environmental professional work from the same facts. Wider scope is set out in environmental due diligence for SBA feasibility studies and the site and regulatory assessment.
When an SBA lender orders a gas station feasibility study
No SBA rule makes a feasibility study mandatory for a gas station loan. 13 CFR 120.160(b) provides only that “SBA may require professional appraisals of the applicant’s and principals’ assets, a survey, or a feasibility study.” The decision rests with SBA, the lender or the CDC, and lenders commonly order a study in four situations, consistent with when SBA requires a feasibility study.
1. Ground-up stations and new-to-industry stores
There is no operating history, and fuel volume must be projected from traffic and competition. See new construction feasibility.
2. Rebrands, conversions and major renovations
The historical record describes a different brand, supply agreement or store format.
3. Credits that rest on margin
Projects whose coverage depends on today’s fuel margins holding, as the US gas station market report 2026 describes.
4. Acquisitions tested under SOP 50 10 8.1
Initial acquisitions must show 1.25x coverage on historical earnings, and a quality-of-earnings report with a cash proof applies at a business purchase price of $3 million or more. See whether SBA acquisition loans default more.
Exhibit 3
SOP 50 10 8.1 change-of-ownership tests, applied to station acquisitions
On a station acquisition, the seller’s historical earnings carry the coverage test. Above $3 million, a quality-of-earnings report must reconcile bank statements to tax returns before those earnings count.
| Transaction category | Coverage test | Equity injection | Quality-of-earnings report | Business valuation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initial Acquisition | 1.25:1 on the last fiscal year or a two-year average; projections not permitted | 10% of total project cost; cannot be reduced | Required at a business purchase price of $3M or more (excluding owner-occupied real estate, measured before financing), with a Cash Proof reconciling bank statements to tax returns; QoE earnings used in the DSCR | Independent valuation from a qualified source, commissioned by and prepared for the lender; debt capped at the valuation |
| Owner Buyout | 1.25:1 | 10%; reducible if liquidity is adequate | Exempt | Same as Initial Acquisition |
| Business Expansion | 1.15:1 | 10%; reducible if liquidity is adequate | Required at $3M or more | Same as Initial Acquisition |
| ESOP / Cooperative | 1.25:1 | Per Appendix 15 | Exempt | Per Appendix 15 |
- A seller note counts toward equity only if subordinated and on full standby for the life of the 7(a) loan.
- Seller standby debt, other standby debt and outside investor equity combined cannot exceed 50 percent of the required injection.
- A non-standby seller note is amortized over no more than ten years for coverage.
- The goodwill portion is limited to a ten-year amortization.
- Seller consultancy is allowed for up to 24 months.
- A reported internal-valuation carve-out at $350,000 or less is confirmed in the September 25, 2026 technical update text before it is relied on.
What this means for a station acquisition. The study reconciles the seller’s gallon reports, state fuel-tax filings, inventory records and point-of-sale data to the tax returns the cash proof relies on. It separates fuel, inside, car wash and foodservice gross profit, and normalizes margins that reflect an unusual year. It then identifies the loan amount the historical earnings support. Fuel-tax and gallon reconciliation is analyst best practice rather than a stated SBA rule; the cash proof is the SBA mechanism. Equity structure is covered in SBA equity injection sources and seller notes in SBA acquisitions.
How to choose a gas station feasibility study consultant
A lender reads a gas station feasibility study to decide whether it can rely on it. Seven tests separate a study that survives credit committee and SBA review from one that comes back with questions. They apply to any consultant, including this firm, and expand on the general guide to choosing a feasibility consultant.
1. Revenue pillars modeled separately.
Fuel, inside sales by category, car wash and foodservice each have their own volume, margin and competitive drivers. A single blended revenue line is a red flag.
2. Fuel volume triangulated.
Traffic capture, comparable stations, trade-area market share and fueling-position throughput are cross-checked. Where they diverge, the most conservative estimate carries the base case.
3. Margins stressed against history.
The base case sits below the 2025 margin peak. Coverage is reported at the 2014–2022 average and the pre-2020 range, and the study states the break-even margin.
4. Every deduction carried.
Card fees (including fees on taxes collected), environmental compliance, tank testing and tank replacement are carried explicitly. The actual supply agreement, branded or unbranded, is modeled with its rebates, minimums and repayment terms.
5. The environmental record aligned with Appendix 7.
Phase I, tank-testing documentation, any Phase II, indemnity waiver and report age are checked against the study’s assumptions.
6. Current SBA rule fluency.
SOP 50 10 8.1 acquisition tests and the quality-of-earnings cash proof; 504 contribution rules; the Franchise Directory for branded fuel and foodservice; and the legal-gambling revenue test where lottery or gaming revenue is material.
7. Independence, a named signatory, and willingness to say no.
The study is addressed to the lender. One accountable professional signs, with the analyst and reviewer named. The published record includes findings of not feasible, or feasible only with conditions.
| Questions to ask before you sign an engagement letter | How this firm answers |
|---|---|
| Who signs the study, and how many feasibility studies has that person completed? | David Jones, MAI, CCIM, more than 4,300 feasibility studies. |
| How many independent methods will set fuel volume? | Four, cross-checked, with the most conservative carried. |
| At what fuel margin will coverage fail? | Stated as a break-even margin, with coverage at historical margins. |
| How will the supply agreement be modeled? | From the actual agreement, including repayment of unamortized incentives. |
| Which SOP version will the study be tested against? | The version governing the loan number. |
| What happens if the lender or SBA returns questions? | Support through lender acceptance. |
Fixed fee in one business day
A 15-minute scoping call, then a written proposal with a firm fixed fee.
Request a fixed-fee quoteWho prepares your gas station feasibility study
David Jones, MAI, CCIM, Principal of SBA Feasibility Study LLC, is the author and signatory of every study the firm issues. Over his career he has completed more than 4,300 feasibility studies across fuel and convenience, car washes, hotels, RV parks, self-storage, multifamily and healthcare. The firm’s studies have been accepted by 534 SBA 7(a) lenders and 107 Certified Development Companies across 50 states.
Every study is signed by the firm, with the analyst and reviewer identified. There is no white-labelling and no unsigned draft that later becomes the basis for a credit decision. The firm is not a lender, broker, fuel supplier, jobber, franchisor or station operator. The approach follows the firm’s three-pillar methodology.
Fuel and convenience engagement record
SBA 504
Fuel Station and Convenience Store
Buda, TX · Loan size band about $3.4 million
Read the Buda case studySBA 504
Express Tunnel Car Wash
Round Rock, TX · Loan size band about $5.2 million
Read the Round Rock case studyDeterminations are the firm’s independent findings. Credit and eligibility decisions rest with the lender, the CDC and SBA. Related work: the Denver auto repair and Miami laundromat case studies, and the full engagement library.
What a gas station feasibility study consultant analyzes
Gas stations, with or without a convenience store, are named special-purpose property examples. SBA SOP 50 10 8.1 governs loans that receive an SBA loan number on or after October 1, 2026 (Information Notice 5000-882227, September 25, 2026). Lenders and CDCs commonly order an independent feasibility study for gas station start-ups, ground-up builds, major renovations and most acquisitions, because the special-purpose designation, the going-concern appraisal and the environmental exposure all raise the bar for proving that projected cash flow is real. Converting a gas station to a non-fuel use requires removing USTs (closure cost quoted for the site), remediating any contamination, and demolishing or repurposing fixed infrastructure.
The four revenue pillars
A gas station feasibility study must model each revenue stream independently. Aggregating all revenue into a single line item is a red flag that signals a low-quality study. Each pillar has different margins, different competitive drivers, and different growth trajectories.
| Revenue stream | Typical share of total revenue | Typical margin | Key analytical inputs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel sales | 55% to 70% (65% nationally in 2025), but only about 39% of gross profit | Over 40¢ per gallon on average in 2025 (NACS); NACS’s illustrative waterfall takes a 35¢ gross margin to about 13¢ net after card fees and expenses | Daily traffic count, capture rate, average fill-up volume, OPIS rack pricing, brand vs unbranded margin differential |
| Inside sales (c-store) | 25% to 40% | 25% to 35% gross margin | NACS category benchmarks, store square footage, product mix (foodservice, packaged beverages, tobacco and nicotine, snacks), inside conversion rate, average basket |
| Car wash (if applicable) | 3% to 8% | 70% to 85% gross margin | Wash count projections, membership/unlimited plan penetration, express vs full-service model, seasonal adjustment |
| QSR / food service (if applicable) | 5% to 15% | Highest-margin inside category: 28.5% of in-store sales but 38.9% of in-store gross profit (NACS 2025) | Brand franchise economics, daypart analysis, food cost ratio, incremental labor requirements |
In 2025, fuel produced 65.0% of U.S. convenience industry sales but only 38.8% of gross profit, while merchandise and foodservice produced 35.0% of store sales and 57.4% of gross profit (NACS). The margin disparity between fuel and non-fuel revenue is the central insight of gas station economics. Fuel drives traffic but generates thin margins. Inside sales, car wash, and QSR generate substantially higher margins on the traffic that fuel attracts. A feasibility study that projects strong fuel volume but weak inside sales will produce a DSCR that understates the station’s true earnings potential. Conversely, a study that assumes aggressive c-store revenue without validating the traffic base will overstate viability.
Fuel volume projection methodology
Fuel volume is the anchor of the entire financial model. The methodology builds the projection from four independent methods that are cross-referenced against each other, under the firm’s market analysis methodology.
Traffic-based projection. We start with the daily traffic count on the road(s) fronting the site, sourced from state DOT or municipal traffic data. We apply a capture rate (the firm’s planning range is 1% to 4% of daily traffic for a well-positioned station; no published standard exists) to estimate daily fuel customers, then multiply by average fill-up volume (from comparable-site transaction data, adjusted for the site’s mix of commuter, local and commercial traffic). This produces a bottom-up daily gallon estimate that is grounded in observable traffic data rather than operator assumptions. Research on retail gasoline demand models station demand over drivers’ commuting paths rather than home location alone (Houde, American Economic Review, 2012), which is why we model traffic flows, not residential radius alone.
Comparable station benchmarking. We benchmark the projected volume against actual performance of comparable stations in the market. OPIS (Oil Price Information Service) provides rack and retail pricing and margin history for the market, and site-level volume data from providers such as Kalibrate and state fuel-tax records is used where available. For branded stations, franchisor disclosure documents may include average unit volumes. For unbranded stations, we rely on industry benchmarks from NACS, which publishes annual surveys reporting median fuel volumes by region and store format.
Market share analysis. We calculate the total fuel demand within the trade area (using population, vehicle registrations, FHWA state motor-fuel statistics, and EIA consumption data) and estimate the subject station’s capture of that total demand based on its competitive position: location quality, brand affiliation, pricing strategy, and amenity package relative to competitors. This is a fair-share analysis: the subject’s capture is set above or below its pro-rata share of the trade area’s fueling positions according to how its location, brand, price, and amenities compare.
Gravity model and fueling-position throughput. For new construction and rebrands, we add a gravity-model check that allocates corridor demand among competing stations by relative attractiveness and travel time, and we test cannibalization of the operator’s own nearby sites. Annual gallons are then translated into throughput per fueling position per month and compared with comparable stations. A projection implying throughput well above local comparables is flagged and reduced before it reaches the DSCR.
When the methods converge on a similar volume range, confidence in the projection is high. When they diverge, the feasibility study documents the discrepancy and uses the most conservative estimate for the base case DSCR calculation.
Fuel margin regimes, and the break-even margin
Fuel margins have moved to a new regime. OPIS data show annual rack-to-retail margins of about 22 to 24 cents per gallon in 2014–2019 and an average of 26.94 cents from 2014 to 2022. NACS reports that 2025 margins averaged over 40 cents. A loan sized on today’s margin without a reversion test is a bet that the new regime holds. The study states the margin at which coverage falls to 1.0x and to the lender’s standard, and reports coverage at historical margins. In the illustrative case below, a station covering 1.66x at a 40-cent margin needs 28.2 cents just to meet debt service, above the 26.94-cent average of 2014–2022. Coverage thresholds are set out in the DSCR guide for SBA loans.
Break-even fuel margin and coverage stress (illustrative)
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NACS: 2025 averaged over 40¢
NACS 2025 average; EIA forecasts $3.91 for 2026
NACS 2025: $21.3B fees on $817.5B sales; firm arithmetic
Monthly NOI
$35,897
Annual NOI
$430,762
Annual debt service
$260,210
DSCR
1.66x
Break-even margin at 1.0x
28.2¢
Break-even margin at 1.25x
32.7¢
DSCR at 26.94¢ (OPIS 2014–2022 average)
0.93x
DSCR at 22¢ (low end of OPIS 2014–2019 range)
0.66x
DSCR with inside sales −10%
1.45x
Fuel share of gross profit
47.3%
| 20¢ | 22¢ | 24¢ | 26¢ | 28¢ | 30¢ | 32¢ | 34¢ | 36¢ | 38¢ | 40¢ | 42¢ | 44¢ | 46¢ | 48¢ | 50¢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.77 | 0.88 | 0.99 | 1.10 | 1.21 | 1.32 | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.66 | 1.77 | 1.88 | 1.99 | 2.10 | 2.21 |
How this is calculated
Fuel gross profit is gallons times margin. Inside gross profit is inside sales times inside margin. Card fees are the card percentage times fuel dollars plus inside sales. Monthly NOI is fuel and inside gross profit plus other income, less card fees and operating expenses. Debt service is a level monthly payment on the loan over the amortization. The break-even margin is the fuel margin at which NOI exactly covers debt service at 1.0x, or at the target coverage. Each stress case changes one input only.
Illustrative defaults, not a benchmark or a feasibility determination. Inputs for a real file come from the subject’s gallon, margin and inside-sales evidence.
C-store revenue analysis
Convenience store revenue is projected using NACS benchmark data, which provides category-level sales-per-square-foot metrics for stores of comparable size and format. The key variables are store square footage (most SBA-financed c-stores range from 1,500 to 4,000 SF), product category mix, and the percentage of fuel customers who enter the store (the “conversion rate”). We calibrate the site-specific inside conversion rate to store format, pump-to-door layout, and competition.
We model c-store revenue by product category: foodservice (the largest category at 28.5% of U.S. in-store sales in 2025, with prepared food at 73.9% of it), packaged beverages (18.7%), cigarettes and other tobacco and nicotine products, beer and wine (where permitted), snacks and candy, and general merchandise. Each category has different margin profiles, regulatory considerations (age-restricted products, lottery), and competitive vulnerability. A station competing with a Dollar General within a quarter mile will see different general merchandise performance than one with no nearby competition. The convenience store feasibility study page covers stores without fuel.
EV charging: the long-term demand risk
Any gas station feasibility study prepared in 2025 or 2026 that does not address electric vehicle adoption is incomplete. EVs were 8.1% of U.S. new vehicle sales in 2024 and 7.8% in 2025. Share peaked at 10.5 percent in Q3 2025 (later restated as 10.6 percent), then fell to 5.8% after the federal EV tax credit expired on September 30, 2025, and has run about 5.8% to 6.4% through the first three quarters of 2026 (about 6.4 percent in Q3 2026, 262,649 units, down 39.5 percent year over year), while hybrids reached a record 16.3 percent (Cox Automotive / Kelley Blue Book). Adoption varies sharply by state, so the study uses the subject state’s registration data.
Our studies address EV impact through two lenses. First, we model the near-term effect on fuel volume over the projection period (3 to 5 years), which for most markets remains modest. EIA’s October 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook describes declining motor gasoline consumption and forecasts retail gasoline at $3.91 per gallon in 2026 and $3.56 in 2027, against $3.10 in 2025. EV adoption accelerates this trend in select markets. Second, we assess the long-term strategic risk to the property’s residual value and the business model’s sustainability beyond the loan term. For 504 loans with 20 or 25-year debentures, this long-term perspective is directly relevant.
We also evaluate whether the subject station is positioned to integrate EV charging as a complementary revenue stream. Stations with adequate electrical infrastructure, sufficient parking, and proximity to highway corridors may benefit from the transition rather than being disrupted by it. This analysis is increasingly important to forward-looking lenders.
Financial modeling: fuel margins, inside sales and DSCR
The financial model integrates all four revenue streams and projects them forward over a 3 to 5 year horizon, following the financial projection and DSCR methodology. Key modeling considerations specific to gas stations:
Fuel margin volatility. Rack-to-retail margins fluctuate with crude oil prices, refinery capacity, seasonal demand, and competitive pricing pressure. We model margins using historical OPIS data for the specific region and stress-test the DSCR against margin compression scenarios. OPIS data show annual rack-to-retail margins of about 22 to 24 cents per gallon in 2014–2019 and an average of 26.94 cents from 2014 to 2022; NACS reports that 2025 margins averaged over 40 cents. We underwrite the base case below recent highs and stress it toward the lower end of that range.
Credit card processing fees. Card fees typically consume $0.08 to $0.12 per gallon of the gross fuel margin (the firm’s planning range). With 82 percent of industry sales dollars transacted on a card in 2025 and card fees reaching a record $21.3 billion, including $4.6 billion charged on taxes collected (NACS), and NACS estimating 8.4 cents per gallon in 2023, the net margin after card fees is the relevant figure for DSCR calculation. Studies that use gross margins without deducting card fees overstate profitability.
Operating expense benchmarks. Gas station operating expenses include labor (typically the largest single expense), rent/mortgage, utilities, insurance (higher than standard retail due to environmental liability), maintenance, inventory shrinkage, and environmental compliance costs. We benchmark each category against NACS survey data and adjust for local wage rates and utility costs, under the operating expense rationalization standard.
Environmental compliance costs. UST monitoring, leak detection testing, spill prevention/countermeasure plans, and periodic tank integrity testing represent ongoing regulatory costs that are unique to fuel retail. These are not optional and must be included in the operating expense model.
Sensitivity and stress testing. Every study includes a DSCR sensitivity matrix that flexes the variables that actually break gas station loans: fuel margin per gallon, gallon volume, inside sales, and payroll. A typical matrix tests margin at the base case, minus 5 cents, and minus 10 cents; volume at minus 10% and minus 20%; and inside sales at minus 10%, alone and combined. The base case must clear the lender’s coverage threshold, and the combined downside shows how much cushion remains. For changes of ownership under SOP 50 10 8.1, we also reconcile our normalized earnings to the historical figures the lender will use for coverage.
Branded versus unbranded economics. Branded supply agreements bring image funding, rebates, and card programs, but also volume minimums, brand standards, and repayment of unamortized incentives if the dealer debrands early. Unbranded supply typically allows wider margins with less traffic support. The study models the actual supply terms and flags covenants in jobber, brand, or franchise agreements that could conflict with SBA eligibility. Brand-level context appears in the best SBA franchises for gas stations and car washes.
Market radius analysis
Gas station trade areas are defined differently than most commercial properties. Rather than concentric radius circles, the trade area follows traffic corridors. A station on a major highway interchange draws from a corridor that may extend 5 to 10 miles in each direction along the highway but only 0.5 miles perpendicular to it. A neighborhood station in a suburban grid draws from a tighter radius of 1 to 3 miles but captures a higher percentage of local residents.
We inventory every competing fuel station within the defined trade area, documenting brand affiliation, fuel pricing (observed at the pump and cross-referenced against GasBuddy data), store format and size, car wash presence, QSR components, and observable condition. Planned stations in the permitting pipeline are identified through local planning department records. This competitive inventory directly informs the capture rate assumptions in the fuel volume model.
Gas station and convenience store feasibility by format
- Single-site fuel and convenience store. The core SBA format. The credit turns on corridor position, fueling positions, inside conversion and the supply agreement, and it competes with large-format chains that price fuel to drive inside sales. The Buda fuel station and c-store case study is an example.
- New-to-industry and large-format stores. Larger footprints and foodservice programs raise both project cost and inside-sales dependence, and the study tests whether the corridor supports the format.
- Convenience store without fuel: the convenience store feasibility study. Inside sales carry the whole credit, so category mix, basket and local competition from dollar and grocery formats decide it.
- Station with car wash. The wash is modeled as a separate profit center with its own capture and membership economics (see the car wash feasibility study). Environmental review follows the fuel-station rules.
- Station with a franchised foodservice brand. The brand must be on the SBA Franchise Directory with the required certification, and its fees, daypart sales and labor are modeled separately, following the franchise feasibility study approach.
- Rebrands and conversions. The study models the incoming supply agreement’s image funding, rebates, volume minimums and repayment of unamortized incentives on debranding, and flags covenants that conflict with SBA eligibility.
- Acquisitions. Tested on the seller’s history under SOP 50 10 8.1 (Exhibit 3). See also acquisition versus start-up studies.
2025–2026 market evidence for fuel and convenience credits
Every figure carries its source and period. The firm updates this section when a primary release changes the answer. Longer-form analysis appears in the US gas station market report 2026 and the analysis of what gas stations earn.
Exhibit 4
Fuel margin regimes and the price outlook
Fuel margins roughly doubled from the pre-2020 regime to over 40 cents per gallon in 2025, while EIA expects retail prices to rise in 2026 and consumption to decline. A study treats today’s margin as a cushion and tests the reversion.
| Indicator | Value | Source and date |
|---|---|---|
| Rack-to-retail margin, 2014–2019 | About 22–24¢ per gallon, annual | OPIS |
| Rack-to-retail margin, 2014–2022 | 26.94¢ average (standard deviation 9.2¢); OPIS: “40 cents is the new 20 cents” | OPIS (2023) |
| Fuel margin, 2025 | “Averaged over 40 cents per gallon” | NACS Magazine (June 2026) |
| Gross-to-net illustration | A 35¢ gross margin, less 8.4¢ card fees (2023) and other expenses, leaves about 13¢ net | NACS, “Who Makes Money Selling Gas?” (illustration, not a measured 2025 figure) |
| Retail gasoline price | $3.10 (2025); $3.91 (2026 forecast); $3.56 (2027 forecast); consumption declining | EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (October 6, 2026) |
| Branded premium | Branded gasoline retailed $0.07 per gallon above unbranded outside California, and $0.31 in California, in 2025 (a price premium, not a margin) | California Energy Commission, using OPIS (October 2025) |
The 2014–2019 bar shows the midpoint of the 22–24¢ range; the 2025 bar shows the 40¢ floor of “over 40 cents.”
Exhibit 5
2025 convenience economics
Fuel brings the traffic, but inside sales earn the profit. Fuel was 65 percent of 2025 sales and 39 percent of gross profit, while transactions fell 3 percent and total expenses have risen 23 percent since 2021.
| Indicator | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Industry sales | $817.5 billion total; inside $341.2 billion (+1.7%); fuel $476.3 billion (−5.4%) on a lower average price ($3.11 vs $3.30); gallons +0.5% | NACS State of the Industry (April 15, 2026) |
| Fuel share | 65.0% of sales; 38.8% of gross profit | Same |
| Merchandise and foodservice | 35.0% of sales; 57.4% of gross profit | Same |
| Foodservice | 28.5% of in-store sales and 38.9% of in-store gross profit; prepared food 73.9% of foodservice | Same |
| Packaged beverages | 18.7% of in-store sales | Same |
| Transactions | 45,160 per store per month (−2.7%); total transactions −3.0%; basket value +24¢, basket profit −8¢ | NACS Magazine (June 2026) |
| Card fees | Record $21.3 billion, including $4.6 billion charged on taxes collected; 82% of industry sales dollars on a card | Same |
| Expenses | Total expenses +23.3% since 2021; direct store operating expenses +4.2% in 2025, just under $166 billion | Same |
| Gross profit per store | About $169,000 per store per month nationally (derived from the NACS regional report; the Southeast ran 9.1% below the national average at $153,581) | NACS Magazine (June 2026) |
Exhibit 6
Industry structure and consolidation
Companies with ten or fewer stores still own 63 percent of U.S. convenience stores, but store counts have been flat for two years and the largest chains are consolidating. A single-site SBA borrower competes with chains that can price fuel to drive inside sales.
| Indicator | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Store count | 151,975 at December 31, 2025 (−0.2%); fuel-selling stores 122,620, an eight-year high | NACS / NIQ TDLinx (January 26, 2026) |
| Ownership | 95,672 stores (63%) owned by companies with 10 or fewer stores; chains with 500+ stores own 33,810 (22.2%) | Same |
| Top states | Texas 16,504; California 12,143 | Same |
| Consolidation | Couche-Tard withdrew its roughly $47 billion proposal for Seven & i on July 16, 2025, and bought 270 GetGo stores for $1.6 billion. RaceTrac reached 605 stores and acquired Potbelly (445 units) for $556 million. FEMSA’s OXXO entered the U.S. through Delek’s 255 DK stores. | CSP; C-Store Dive; NACS Magazine Top 100 (March 2026) |
| Fuel volume | Seven & i’s CEO reported “continued declines in fuel volumes” in North America | C-Store Dive (April 2026) |
Exhibit 7
Electric vehicles and fuel demand
The end of the federal credit cut EV share from a 10.6 percent peak to about 6 percent of new sales, and hybrids, not EVs, are taking share. Over a ten-year 7(a) horizon, EV adoption trims gallons at the margin; over a 25-year 504 debenture, it is a residual-value question.
| Indicator | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| EV share of new sales | 8.1% (2024); 7.8% (2025); peak 10.5% in Q3 2025, later restated as 10.6%; 5.8% in Q4 2025 after the federal credit ended September 30, 2025; 5.8% in Q1 and Q2 2026; about 6.4% in Q3 2026 (262,649 units, −39.5% year over year) | Cox Automotive / Kelley Blue Book (January 13 to October 13, 2026) |
| Hybrids | Record 16.3% of new sales in Q3 2026; nearly 25% of Q3 sales electrified | Cox Automotive (September 2026) |
| Gasoline consumption | Declining, per the October 2026 outlook | EIA STEO (October 6, 2026) |
Exhibit 8
Category and payment regulation
Inside-sales categories carry their own regulatory dates. Intoxicating hemp products face a federal redefinition in December 2026, and card fees remain the industry’s largest controllable cost.
| Item | Rule or status | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Federal hemp redefinition | P.L. 119-37 §781 (signed November 12, 2025) sets a total-THC standard and a 0.4 mg total-THC per-container cap. H.R. 6500 (signed September 2, 2026) moved those provisions to December 11, 2026. The synthetic-cannabinoid prohibition takes effect November 12, 2026. State dates differ: Illinois November 12, 2026; Missouri follows the federal date; Rhode Island December 11, 2026. | Vicente LLP; Foley Hoag (September–October 2026) |
| Swipe fees, all merchants | $198.25 billion in 2025 (+5.9%); average Visa/Mastercard credit rate 2.36% | Merchants Payments Coalition, citing The Nilson Report (March 18, 2026) |
| Credit Card Competition Act | Pending; not enacted | Merchants Payments Coalition (March 2026) |
| Legal gambling revenue | Businesses deriving more than one-third of gross annual revenue from legal gambling are ineligible; the study reports lottery and gaming commissions as a share of revenue so the lender can apply the test | 13 CFR 120.110 |
Where hemp-derived products are a material share of inside gross profit, the study removes them from the base case for any period after the applicable effective date.
Exhibit 9
Valuation parameters, 2026
Net-lease cap rates near 5 percent for 7-Eleven and Wawa price a corporate lease guarantee, while the broader net-lease market reached a decade-high 6.92 percent. Neither is an owner-operator cap rate.
| Item | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 7-Eleven, 15-year lease | 4.80–5.15% asking (Q3 2026), from 5.00–5.40% (Q1 2026); 5-year lease 5.90–6.20% | The Boulder Group Tenant Profiles (September 11, 2026) |
| Wawa, 15-year lease | 4.90–5.20% asking (Q3 2026) | Same |
| Circle K, 15-year lease | 5.35–5.65% asking (Q1 2026) | The Boulder Group (March 2026) |
| Net-lease market | Overall 6.92% (+10 bps, highest in over a decade); retail 6.69% | Boulder Q3 2026 Net Lease Report |
| Closed comparables | Wawa, Tallahassee: 4.80% (August 2026); 7-Eleven, La Porte, IN: 5.00% (August 2026) | Same |
Test a going-in yield with the cap rate calculator.
Gas station feasibility study vs market study vs appraisal
Exhibit 10
Market study, feasibility study and appraisal
The feasibility study proves the gallons and margins; the appraisal prices the going concern; both must use the same stabilized gross profit by pillar.
| Market study | Feasibility study | Appraisal |
|---|---|---|
| Corridor demand, competitive inventory, capture. | Adds gallons, margins, inside categories, environmental and tank costs, the supply agreement, coverage under stress, and a determination. | Income, sales comparison and cost approaches, with the allocation and an explicit treatment of USTs as real property or equipment. |
See also feasibility study vs appraisal vs market study and feasibility study vs business plan.
The standards behind a gas station feasibility study and appraisal
An SBA gas station file is reviewed against four layers of standards. A credible feasibility study is written so each reviewer, from the credit officer to the appraiser to the SBA, can trace its conclusions back to them.
SOP 50 10 8.1 and 13 CFR Part 120. The SOP sets appraiser qualifications for special-purpose property, requires the land, building, equipment, and intangible allocation, and makes Appendix 7 (Requirements Pertaining to Gas Station Loans) part of every fuel file. Version 8.1 also places every change of ownership into one of four Appendix 15 categories (initial acquisition, business expansion, owner buyout, ESOP or cooperative), requires a quality of earnings report for initial acquisitions and business expansions priced at $3 million or more, and sets acquisition coverage at 1.25:1 on the last fiscal year or a two-year average (1.15:1 for business expansions), with projections not permitted, and requires the quality-of-earnings report to include a cash proof reconciling bank statements to tax returns. That makes a rigorous, independently tested view of the station’s actual performance more important than ever.
USPAP. The Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (2024 edition, which has no fixed expiration date) govern the appraisal. Standards 1 and 2 control how value is developed and reported, and Standards Rule 1-4(g) requires the appraiser to analyze personal property, trade fixtures, and intangible items when they are included in the appraisal, which is always the case for an operating station. Our studies document assumptions, sources, and stabilized income in a form a USPAP appraiser can rely on.
Interagency Appraisal and Evaluation Guidelines. For federally regulated lenders, value opinions such as going concern value or value in use may not be used as market value. An appraisal may report them separately, so long as they are clearly identified and disclosed. Market value of the real property, as-is and, where relevant, prospective as-complete and as-stabilized, must stand on its own. This is why the going-concern value of a station is always broken into components, and why the feasibility study’s income must reconcile with that allocation.
Appraisal Institute definitions. The profession distinguishes a market analysis (the demand for and supply of a property type), a marketability study (how a specific property is expected to perform in a specific market), and a feasibility analysis (a study of the cost-benefit relationship of an economic endeavor). An SBA gas station study needs all three, and it supplies the financially feasible test in the appraiser’s highest and best use analysis.
How gas stations are valued: appraisal methodology and theory
The feasibility study and the appraisal answer different questions, but in an SBA file they have to agree. The study tests whether the project can generate its projected cash flow; the appraisal converts that cash flow into value, allocates it, and sets the collateral position.
Value definitions that matter for SBA. Market value as defined by the federal banking agencies (the most probable price in a competitive and open market); market value of the going concern (real property, FF&E, and business intangibles together); and the as-is, prospective as-complete, and prospective as-stabilized dates of value. For new construction, the study’s ramp-up schedule drives the as-stabilized date. For an acquisition, the as-is going-concern value is the anchor, and the property interest (fee simple, leased fee, or leasehold) changes the comparables and the multiples entirely.
Income approach. The primary approach for an operating station. Stabilized net operating income is built from separately modeled fuel gross profit, inside gross profit, and ancillary income, less operating expenses, a market management fee, and a reserve for replacing tanks, dispensers, and equipment. Capitalization rates are derived by market extraction from comparable going-concern sales and checked with the band-of-investment method (Ro = M × Rm + (1 − M) × Re) and the debt coverage formula (Ro = DCR × M × Rm). A common error is applying net-lease c-store cap rates to an owner-operated station: The Boulder Group’s Q3 2026 asking cap rates were 4.80 to 5.15 percent for 7-Eleven 15-year leases and 4.90 to 5.20 percent for Wawa (Circle K was 5.35 to 5.65 percent in Q1 2026), while the overall net-lease market reached a decade-high 6.92 percent, but those rates price a corporate lease guarantee, not operating risk. New construction and repositioned sites use a discounted cash flow that captures the ramp-up to stabilization.
Sales comparison approach. Comparable sales are analyzed on several units of comparison at once: price per annual gallon, price per fueling position, gross profit multiplier, price per square foot of store, and EBITDA multiple. Each has limits; price per pump, for example, ignores throughput and inside sales. Adjustments address fuel volume, brand and supply agreement, tank age and construction (single-wall versus double-wall), environmental status, corner position and access, lot size, car wash and food service components, and property rights conveyed. Business-only leasehold sales trade at a fraction of fee-simple multiples, so mixing them without adjustment distorts value.
Cost approach. Land value plus the replacement cost new of the store, canopy, tanks, piping, and dispensers, less physical deterioration, functional obsolescence (undersized stores, too few fueling positions, poor layout), and external obsolescence (oversupply, road realignments, falling demand). It carries most weight for new construction and serves as a ceiling test. When the income-based value falls below depreciated cost, the gap measures external obsolescence, and the study’s competitive inventory is the evidence for it.
Reconciliation and allocation. The appraiser reconciles the approaches into a going-concern value and allocates it among land, building and site improvements, FF&E, and intangible assets such as business enterprise value and brand affiliation. Accepted allocation techniques include the residual method, management and franchise fee methods, and contributory asset charges (see ASA course RP401, which addresses fueling stations specifically, and The Appraisal Foundation’s VFR Valuation Advisory 1). Practice differs on whether USTs and dispensers are real property fixtures or equipment, so the appraisal should state its treatment explicitly. The allocation directly shapes the SBA loan: real estate supports up to a 25-year term while equipment and goodwill carry shorter terms, and under SOP 50 10 8.1 change-of-ownership loans use a blended weighted-average maturity. Our studies report stabilized income in the format the appraiser allocates, so the two documents tie out.
| Approach | What it measures | Where it carries weight | What the feasibility study supplies |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income | Value of stabilized cash flow | Operating stations, acquisitions | Gallons, margins, inside sales, expenses, stabilized NOI |
| Sales comparison | What buyers pay for similar stations | Markets with recent comparable sales | Volume and format data to match comparables |
| Cost | Cost to build less depreciation | New construction, ceiling test | Competitive supply evidence for external obsolescence |
| Highest and best use | Whether continued fuel use is the most productive use | Every special-purpose appraisal | The financially feasible test: demand and pro forma |
Highest and best use. Every appraisal tests highest and best use as vacant and as improved: legally permissible, physically possible, financially feasible, and maximally productive. For a fuel site, the as-improved test weighs continued operation against conversion, net of tank removal and any remediation. The feasibility study is the evidence for the financially feasible test, which is why lenders read the two reports together.
SBA eligibility and structure checklist for gas station loans
Exhibit 11
SBA eligibility and structure checklist
For a gas station, the environmental file, the supply agreement and the acquisition test do more to decide the credit than the special-purpose label.
| Requirement | Rule | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Special-purpose status | Gas stations “with or without a convenience store” are named special-purpose property examples | SBA Information Notice 5000-1340 (SOP 50 10 5(H), 2015); confirm wording in 8.1 |
| 504 borrower contribution | 15% if the business has operated two years or less; 15% if the project involves a limited- or single-purpose building; 20% when both apply; 10% otherwise | 13 CFR 120.910(a) |
| 7(a) acquisition equity | 10%, not reducible for initial acquisitions; standby and outside equity no more than 50% of the injection | SOP 50 10 8.1 (secondary summaries) |
| Going-concern appraisal | Certified General appraiser with no fewer than four going-concern appraisals of equivalent special-use property in the last 36 months; separate values for land, building, equipment and intangible assets | SBA Information Notice 5000-1340; reported carried forward; confirm in 8.1 |
| Environmental | Appendix 7 requirements (Exhibit 2) | SOP Appendix 7 |
| Franchise Directory | A brand meeting the FTC franchise definition, whether fuel, c-store or foodservice, must be listed with the required certification on the date the loan number is assigned; the study reviews supply-agreement covenants (image-funding repayment, rights of first refusal, control) for conflicts | SBA Franchise Directory; firm practice |
| Legal gambling | More than one-third of gross annual revenue from legal gambling makes the business ineligible | 13 CFR 120.110 |
| Size standard | $36.5 million average annual receipts (NAICS 457110); the August 20, 2026 proposed rule (91 FR 53741) is not final, and current standards apply until a final rule takes effect | SBA Table of Size Standards; Federal Register |
| Program limits | 7(a) maximum $5,000,000; up to $5M 7(a) plus $5M 504 ($10M combined) when the 7(a) loan is approved first, for loans numbered on or after July 4, 2026 | 13 CFR 120.151; SBA Policy Notice 5000-879058 |
| Maturity | Real estate up to 25 years; under 8.1, change-of-ownership loans use separate loans or a blended maturity, with goodwill limited to 10 years | 13 CFR 120.212; SOP 50 10 8.1 summaries |
Compare program structures in the SBA 7(a) vs 504 feasibility guide, the CDC guide for 504 projects and the October 2026 SBA feasibility monitor.
Engaging the firm: process, fee and timeline
1. Scope
A 15-minute scoping call, then a written proposal with a firm fixed fee within one business day.
2. Data and analysis
A structured data request within one to two business days of the engagement letter, and a mid-point findings review on substantial engagements.
3. Delivery and acceptance
A signed study addressed to the lender, with support through lender acceptance. Every inquiry is answered within one business day.
Gas station feasibility studies range from $4,900 to $12,000, fixed before work begins, depending on the complexity of the station format (single-purpose fuel vs multi-concept with car wash and QSR), the density of the competitive environment, and data availability in the market. The fee does not depend on the conclusion or on whether the loan closes. Multi-concept stations with three or four revenue streams require more detailed modeling and push toward the upper end of the range. Delivery runs 7 to 12 business days from a complete data response; rush delivery in 5 to 7 business days is available at a premium. For pricing across all property types, see the cost and timeline guide and what to expect in the report.
Data request checklist
- Site address and parcel; traffic counts if held; site plan with fueling positions, store square footage, car wash and foodservice.
- Supply agreement or brand proposal (incentives, rebates, minimums, repayment terms).
- Development budget or purchase contract.
- Proposed loan structure, SBA program, and lender or CDC.
- For existing stations:
- three years of P&L and tax returns;
- monthly gallon reports by grade;
- state fuel-tax filings;
- point-of-sale inside sales by category;
- card-processing statements;
- lottery and gaming commission statements.
- Tank registration, age, construction, testing records and any Phase I or Phase II.
- Any appraisal already in the file.
- Sponsor’s fuel retail experience.
Request Your Free Feasibility Study Consultation
Gas station feasibility study FAQ
More answers: SBA feasibility study FAQ and the glossary. Background: inside a gas station feasibility study and SBA loan default rates by industry.
For the financing implications of fuel-site valuation, read what SBA debt can actually support by asset class, which distinguishes owner-operated returns from net-lease cap rates and compares program coverage floors.
Work with the firm’s gas station feasibility study consultants
Studies are signed by David Jones, MAI, CCIM. Every gas station project we underwrite follows the same lender ready process: independent market analysis, site and technical review, and financial projections tested against SBA SOP 50 10 8.1. Our SBA feasibility study consultants guide explains scope, timing, deliverables, and what lenders and CDCs expect in the report.
How this page is verified
Program rules are checked against 13 CFR Parts 120 and 121, 40 CFR Part 280 and SBA SOP 50 10 8 and 8.1. Every market figure names its source and date. Last verified October 26, 2026.
Sources
- eCFR, 13 CFR 120.110, 120.151, 120.160, 120.212 and 120.910 (current) — https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-13/chapter-I/part-120
- eCFR, 40 CFR Part 280 and 280.93, underground storage tanks — https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-40/part-280
- U.S. Small Business Administration, Information Notices 5000-1340, 5000-880695 (August 14, 2026) and 5000-882227 (September 25, 2026) — https://www.sba.gov/document/information-notice
- U.S. Small Business Administration, Policy Notice 5000-879058; SBA Franchise Directory — https://www.sba.gov
- Federal Register, 91 FR 53741, proposed size standards (August 20, 2026) — https://www.federalregister.gov
- NAGGL, SOP 50 10 8.1 summaries (2026) — https://www.naggl.org
- A3 Environmental, SOP 50 10 8.1 environmental note (September 8, 2026)
- Partner ESI, SBA environmental policy summaries — https://www.partneresi.com
- Starfield & Smith, SBA gas station requirements (June 2024) — https://www.starfieldsmith.com
- Sundance FG; Cantrell Firm; Jaken Finance, SOP 50 10 8.1 commentary (August–September 2026)
- NACS, State of the Industry (April 15, 2026); NACS Magazine (June 2026); NACS / NIQ TDLinx store count (January 26, 2026); NACS, “Who Makes Money Selling Gas?” — https://www.convenience.org
- OPIS, rack-to-retail margin history — https://www.opisnet.com
- U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook (October 6, 2026) — https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo
- California Energy Commission, branded and unbranded price analysis using OPIS (October 2025) — https://www.energy.ca.gov
- Cox Automotive / Kelley Blue Book, EV and hybrid sales reports (January 13, 2026 to October 13, 2026) — https://www.coxautoinc.com
- The Boulder Group, Tenant Profiles and Net Lease Reports (March, September and October 2026) — https://www.bouldergroup.com
- CSP; C-Store Dive; NACS Magazine Top 100 (March 2026)
- Vicente LLP; Foley Hoag, hemp redefinition updates (September–October 2026)
- Merchants Payments Coalition, citing The Nilson Report (March 18, 2026) — https://merchantspaymentscoalition.com
- Houde, “Spatial Differentiation and Vertical Mergers in Retail Markets for Gasoline,” American Economic Review (2012)
- U.S. Small Business Administration, 7(a) and 504 FOIA loan-level data (as of March 31, 2026) — https://data.sba.gov
Changelog
| Date | Change |
|---|---|
| October 26, 2026 | Page rebuilt for lender and sponsor engagement. Added the SBA Gas Station Lending Ledger with four-class comparison; the Appendix 7 environmental gate; the SOP 50 10 8.1 acquisition tests; the fuel margin stress calculator; and the 2025–2026 margin, economics, structure, EV, regulation and valuation exhibits. Corrected the 504 contribution, card fee, financial responsibility, fuel margin and Boulder figures. Removed unsupported conversion-rate, fill-up, tobacco, EV-in-operation, California ZEV and tank-cost claims. |