How to Evaluate a Third-Party Feasibility Study

    A quality checklist for credit officers, CDCs, loan committee members, and SBA processing center analysts


    Not all feasibility studies are created equal, and a deficient study in the loan file creates risk for every party in the transaction. The lender risks a purchase/repair demand from the SBA if examiners determine the underwriting was inadequate. The CDC risks its credit memorandum being challenged during SBA processing center review. The borrower risks a loan denial or, worse, a loan approval based on flawed projections that leads to default. And the SBA itself bears the guarantee risk on a loan that was underwritten against unreliable analysis.

    This page provides a structured framework for evaluating the quality, credibility, and completeness of a third-party feasibility study. It is written for the professionals who review these documents: credit officers at PLP lenders, CDC credit committee members, SBA processing center analysts, and loan committee members. The checklist can also help borrowers understand what their lender will be looking for, so they can ensure the study they commission will survive scrutiny.

    The Provider: Who Prepared the Study?

    The first question is not about the study's content. It is about who wrote it. The analyst's credentials, independence, and track record determine the baseline reliability of everything that follows.

    Evaluation CriterionStrong IndicatorRed Flag
    Professional affiliationAppraisal Institute (MAI, AI-GRS, Practicing Affiliate), CCIM, CRENo professional affiliations; no verifiable credentials
    Independence from borrowerEngaged by lender or independently by borrower with no financial interest in loan approvalEngaged by a party with a financial incentive for a positive outcome (broker, developer equity partner)
    Industry experienceDemonstrated track record with the specific property type and SBA/USDA programsGeneralist with no evidence of property-type specialization or SBA lending knowledge
    Reliance letterAddressed to the lender and SBA, permitting reliance for underwriting purposesNo reliance letter, or letter that limits reliance to the borrower only
    Insurance / E&O coverageProfessional liability (errors and omissions) insurance documentedNo evidence of professional liability coverage
    Published methodologyDocumented analytical framework, data sources, and assumptionsBlack-box analysis with no methodology disclosure
    Prior SBA acceptanceStudies previously accepted by SBA processing centers, CDCs, PLP lendersNo evidence that prior work has been reviewed or accepted by SBA-related entities

    Appraisal Institute affiliation matters. The Appraisal Institute is the preeminent professional organization for real estate valuation and analysis. Members and affiliates are bound by USPAP (Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice) ethics requirements, continuing education mandates, and peer review standards. A feasibility study prepared by an Appraisal Institute member or Practicing Affiliate carries institutional credibility that a study from a non-affiliated consultant does not. This does not mean non-affiliated analysts cannot produce quality work, but it does mean the lender has fewer external quality assurance mechanisms to rely on.

    Independence and Objectivity

    A feasibility study has value only if it is independent. If the analyst has a financial incentive to reach a positive conclusion, the study is advocacy, not analysis. The lender should evaluate independence on three dimensions.

    Financial independence. The analyst should have no equity stake, fee contingency, or ongoing financial relationship with the project. A feasibility study where the analyst's fee is contingent on loan approval, or where the analyst is also providing development consulting services for a success fee, is not independent. The fee should be fixed and payable regardless of the study's conclusion.

    Engagement independence. Who commissioned the study? The strongest independence exists when the lender directly engages the analyst. Borrower-engaged studies are acceptable (and common) provided the analyst has no prior relationship with the borrower that could create bias. Studies engaged by mortgage brokers, loan packagers, or other intermediaries with a commission interest in loan approval warrant additional scrutiny.

    Conclusion independence. Does the study reach a genuine conclusion, or is it structured to support a predetermined outcome? A credible study includes a clear go/no-go recommendation that could realistically go either way. If the analyst's published materials, website, or marketing suggests they have never issued a negative feasibility opinion, the independence of their positive conclusions is questionable. A consultant who produces only favorable reports is either selecting clients who do not need feasibility studies or is not performing genuine analysis.

    The Quality Checklist: 15 Elements to Review

    Use this checklist to evaluate any third-party feasibility study received for SBA or USDA underwriting. Each element is scored as present and adequate, present but deficient, or absent.

    #ElementWhat to Look ForCommon Deficiency
    1Executive summary with clear recommendationGo/no-go or conditional recommendation stated upfront with key supporting metricsRecommendation buried or hedged to the point of being meaningless
    2Trade area definition and justificationDefined radius or drive-time with explanation of why that boundary was chosenNo defined trade area; analysis references 'the market' without boundaries
    3Demand analysis with quantified methodologyPopulation-based or traffic-based demand model with cited data sourcesDemand stated as 'strong' or 'growing' without quantification
    4Complete competitive inventoryEvery competing facility documented with location, capacity, pricing, conditionSelective competitor listing; omits inconvenient competitors or pipeline supply
    5Pipeline supply analysisPlanned, permitted, or under-construction competitive supply identifiedOnly existing supply inventoried; no mention of planned additions
    6Independent financial projectionsRevenue and expense projections built from market data, not borrower's business planProjections that mirror the borrower's numbers without independent validation
    7DSCR calculation with correct debt termsDSCR at SBA-program-appropriate thresholds using actual proposed loan termsDSCR calculated at generic rates or omitting all debt obligations (equipment leases, etc.)
    8Sensitivity / stress testingBase, optimistic, and pessimistic scenarios with key variable identificationSingle-scenario projection with no downside analysis
    9Site assessmentLocation evaluation, zoning confirmation, access/visibility, parking, utilitiesNo site visit conducted; analysis based entirely on desktop data
    10Management / operator assessmentBorrower qualifications, industry experience, organizational planNo mention of operator capability; assumes competent management without evaluation
    11Property classification analysisSpecial purpose vs multipurpose determination with SOP 50 10 8 referenceNo classification discussion; leaves the lender to determine independently
    12Cited data sourcesNamed databases, publications, and government sources with access datesVague references to 'industry data' or 'market research' without specific citations
    13Comparable evidenceSpecific comparable properties with documented performance metricsGeneric industry statistics without local comparable validation
    14Limiting conditions and assumptionsExplicit statement of what is assumed and what is excludedNo limiting conditions; implies the study covers everything without caveat
    15Reliance letterAddressed to lender and SBA; permits reliance for underwritingMissing, or addressed only to borrower

    Scoring guidance: a study with 12 to 15 elements rated adequate is a quality deliverable. A study with 9 to 11 adequate elements may be acceptable with supplemental information from the analyst. A study with fewer than 9 adequate elements should be returned for revision or rejected. Studies missing elements 1, 6, 7, or 8 (recommendation, independent projections, DSCR, sensitivity) have fundamental deficiencies that cannot be supplemented and should be rejected outright.

    Red Flags in Low-Quality Studies

    Beyond the checklist, experienced reviewers learn to recognize patterns that indicate a low-quality or biased study. These red flags do not automatically disqualify a study, but they warrant deeper investigation.

    Projections that exactly match the borrower's business plan. If the feasibility study's revenue projection is within 2% to 3% of the borrower's own numbers, the analyst may have reverse-engineered the projections from the business plan rather than building them independently from market data. Independent projections should diverge from the borrower's plan by at least 5% to 15% in most cases, because the analyst uses different data sources, different assumptions, and a different methodology.

    No pessimistic scenario that threatens DSCR. A credible sensitivity analysis includes a pessimistic scenario where DSCR drops below 1.0x. If the pessimistic case still shows a comfortable 1.25x DSCR, the analyst either did not stress the assumptions sufficiently or calibrated the pessimistic case to avoid an uncomfortable conclusion. The purpose of the pessimistic scenario is to identify the breaking point, not to reassure.

    Generic competitive analysis. A study that describes competitors as "several establishments in the area" without naming, locating, and profiling each one has not conducted genuine competitive research. Every competitor should be identified by name, address, size/capacity, pricing, condition, and competitive position. If the study cannot name the competitors, the analyst did not visit the market.

    No site visit. Desktop-only feasibility studies miss critical information that can only be observed in person: actual competitor condition, traffic patterns, visibility obstructions, construction activity, neighborhood character, and site access challenges. If the study does not include photographs of the subject site and competitors, ask whether a site visit was conducted. A study without a site visit should be viewed with significant skepticism for any project above $500,000.

    Boilerplate language across studies. If the market analysis section reads like it could apply to any city in America, the analyst may be using a template-based approach rather than conducting market-specific research. Look for specific local references: named employers, specific developments, local economic events, and data points that could only come from analyzing the actual trade area.

    Missing pipeline supply. This is the single most dangerous omission. A study that inventories existing competitors but ignores planned, permitted, or under-construction supply can produce a demand surplus that evaporates within 12 months when new supply enters the market. Always ask: "Does this study address what is being built, not just what exists?"

    Minimum Data Requirements by Property Type

    Different property types require different specialized data. A study that lacks the property-specific data source is fundamentally unreliable for that asset class.

    Property TypeRequired Specialized DataIf Missing, the Study Is...
    HotelSTR (Smith Travel Research) comp set dataNot credible; no hotel feasibility can be validated without STR
    Self-storageRadius study with SF/capita at 1, 3, and 5-mile ringsIncomplete; SF/capita is the industry-standard saturation metric
    Gas stationTraffic count data (state DOT) and fuel margin data (OPIS)Unable to validate fuel volume projections; guesswork
    RestaurantTrade area demographics at the census tract level; franchise Item 19 if applicableDemand analysis is unsupported; franchise revenue projection unanchored
    MultifamilyRent comp data (CoStar, RentRange, or equivalent)Rent projections are unvalidated opinions, not market-supported analysis
    Medical officeProvider supply data (HRSA), payor mix analysis by categoryRevenue projections ignore the reimbursement structure that drives healthcare economics
    Car washTraffic count data and ICA benchmarksWash count projection is unsupported
    DaycareState licensing ratios and local competitor waitlist dataCannot validate capacity or demand without regulatory and competitive primary research

    Credentialed vs. Non-Credentialed Providers

    The SBA does not mandate specific credentials for feasibility study analysts. SOP 50 10 8 requires that the study be prepared by an independent third party but does not specify educational requirements, professional designations, or licensing. This creates a wide quality spectrum in the market.

    Credentialed providers (Appraisal Institute affiliates, CCIM designees, licensed appraisers performing consulting assignments) operate under professional standards that include ethics requirements, continuing education, competency rules, and exposure to peer review. These standards do not guarantee quality, but they create accountability mechanisms that non-credentialed providers lack.

    Non-credentialed providers include business consultants, accounting firms performing feasibility as an ancillary service, and individuals marketing feasibility study services without professional affiliation. Some produce excellent work. Many do not. The lender has no external quality assurance mechanism to rely on and must evaluate the study entirely on its own merits.

    Practical recommendation: when reviewing a study from a non-credentialed provider, apply the 15-element checklist more rigorously and pay particular attention to the red flags described above. When the study comes from a credentialed provider with a track record of SBA acceptance, the checklist serves as a confirmation tool rather than a discovery tool.

    What to Do When a Study Falls Short

    A deficient feasibility study does not necessarily mean the project is infeasible. It means the analysis is insufficient to support a credit decision. Lenders have three options.

    Request revisions from the original analyst. This is the fastest and least expensive option. Provide specific feedback on the deficiencies identified through the checklist and give the analyst an opportunity to supplement the analysis. Most qualified analysts welcome constructive feedback and can address gaps within 5 to 10 business days.

    Commission a supplemental review. If the original study has a sound foundation but specific deficiencies (missing sensitivity analysis, incomplete competitive inventory, unsupported projections), a second analyst can prepare a supplemental letter addressing the gaps without repeating the entire study. This is faster and less expensive than a full replacement.

    Commission a replacement study. If the deficiencies are fundamental (no independence, no market-specific data, borrower-dictated projections), the most prudent course is to engage a qualified analyst to prepare a new study from scratch. The cost of a replacement study ($4,900 to $25,000) is a fraction of the loss exposure on a deficient loan.

    Need a Feasibility Study You Can Rely On?

    We produce independent, SOP 50 10 8-compliant feasibility studies that are built to survive lender review, CDC credit committee scrutiny, and SBA processing center evaluation. Every study includes all 15 checklist elements, a clear go/no-go recommendation, and a reliance letter addressed to the lender and SBA.

    If you are a lender reviewing a study that falls short, we offer supplemental review letters and replacement studies with priority turnaround.

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